Parent (Previous) Guide Folders
Constructive Conflict Guide >
Specialized Massively Parallel Roles / Tasks >
Conflict Strategists >
Lookouts
______________________

Conflict Early Warners

BI Audio/Video
Conversation with the Co-Convenors of the Trust Network: Prabha Sankaranarayan, D.G. Mawn, and Madhawa Palihapitiya

Related Folders
Threats, Intimidation, and Small Scale Violence
Intimidating and threatening people is a standard strategy for bad-faith actors, who take a "might-makes-right" approach to getting what they want. Sometimes the threats and intimidation turn into violence. Here we look at small-scale violence; next we will look at large-scale aggression, such as war.

Related Folders
Effective Anti-Violence Norms and Enforcement
One of the most important functions of democratic systems is to prevent unscrupulous individuals from advancing their interests through violence and intimidation.

Related Folders
Preventing Small Scale Violence
One job of government is to assure the sense of security among its citizens. That means the government needs to do as much as it can to prevent violence that undermines its citizens' sense of security, although it cannot do so in a heavy-handed way that violates other people's rights.

Colleague Activities
ACLED US Crisis Monitor
From the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project, an impressive and useful collection of data on dangerous conflicts in the US and worldwide.

Colleague Activities
US Crisis Monitor to Provide Real-Time Data on Political Violence and Demonstrations in America
A report on protests and political violence surrounding the Nov. 2020 U.S. political elections in 2020.

Colleague Activities
The Trust Network
A network of peacebuilding organizations working to build national cohesion and peacebuilding infrastructure in the U.S, including and early warning/early response system to prevent violence.

Colleague Activities
Fund for Peace
FFP works with partners at the local, national and international levels to develop mechanisms for timely and effective conflict early warning and preventative response. They run the Fragile States Index and the State Resilience Index

Colleague Activities
Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED)
ACLED is a data collection, analysis, and crisis mapping project. It collects information on the dates, actors, locations, fatalities, and types of all reported political violence and protest events around the world.

Colleague Activities
VIEWS: The Violence and Impacts Early Warning System
VIEWS is a conflict prediction system that generates monthly forecasts for violent conflicts across the world up to three years in advance.

News and Opinion
Invitation to Violence: Anti-Israel Group's Map Puts 'Target' on Boston Jews

News and Opinion
The New Era of Political Violence Is Here
A look at a possible next step in the escalation of our social and political conflicts --- a step that will start crossing the taboo line that separates violent from nonviolent conflict.

News and Opinion
The Rise of Political Violence in the United States
An exhaustive analysis of recent trends in political violence in the United States -- violence that, thankfully, is still far below what the US experienced in the 1960s and early 1970s.

News and Opinion
Take Threats of 'National Divorce' Seriously
For those thinking in terms of victory over, rather than accommodation with, the other side of the political divide, a warning about where this is taking us.

News and Opinion
The Age of Mass Protests: Understanding an Escalating Global Trend
The fact that mass protests seem to be increasing worldwide suggests that there are deeper dynamics at play -- it's not just local politics.

News and Opinion
Anger and radicalization': rising number of Americans say political violence is justified
Yet another poll indicating that the United States is precariously close to crossing the taboo line that normally prevents our hardball politics from crossing the line into outright violence.